Growth Data — Where the Field Is, and How Sparse SG Is on It

Source data: U.S. Census Bureau Vintage 2024 county and MSA estimates (released May 2025); MSA boundaries per OMB Bulletin 23-01. Compiled April 2026.

Three things about this data are worth holding together:

  1. The Mountain West is the fastest-growing edge of our region.
  2. The growth is geographically concentrated in Idaho.
  3. Sovereign Grace has three churches there.

That is the whole strategic story in three sentences. Everything below is texture.


The field at a glance

Largest metros in our territory

#MetroState(s)2024 PopGrowth since 2020
1Chicago–Naperville–Elgin*IL/IN/WI9,408,576−0.5%
2Seattle–Tacoma–BellevueWA4,095,015+1.9%
3Minneapolis–St. PaulMN/WI3,690,261flat
4St. LouisMO/IL2,806,652−0.5%
5Portland–VancouverOR/WA2,510,619flat
6Kansas CityMO/KS2,199,490+0.3%
7MilwaukeeWI1,574,731flat
8Omaha–Council BluffsNE/IA985,117+1.8%
9Boise (Treasure Valley)ID836,061+9.3%
10Des MoinesIA727,232+4.6%
11MadisonWI696,525+2.3%

*Chicago crosses into IN/WI; the Illinois portion is in our region.

Chicago is the giant. The 3rd-largest MSA in the United States. A different kind of question than the growth metros — not "where is growth concentrated" but "where is mass concentrated."

Fastest-growing metros in our territory (2020 → 2024)

#MetroState2024 PopGrowth
1Boise (Treasure Valley)ID836,061+9.3%
2Sioux FallsSD286,887+8.0%
3Kalispell (Flathead)MT113,344+7.5%
4BendOR213,116+7.5%
5Idaho FallsID167,228+5.7%
6Tri-Cities (Kennewick–Richland)WA312,517+5.3%
7OlympiaWA305,296+5.1%
8BozemanMT124,900+4.9%
9Coeur d'AleneID179,565+4.8%
10Des MoinesIA727,232+4.6%

Boise is the standout. The only metro in our region growing nearly 10% in 4 years, and the 8th-largest. The rare combination of large and fast.

The Idaho concentration

Counties >25K population growing >5% since 2020:

Five of the top-ten fastest-growing counties in our region are in Idaho. No other state in our region comes close to that concentration.

Treasure Valley specifically

Ada County (+7.5%, 535,799) and Canyon County (+14.5%, 266,892) together gained ~70,000 residents in 4 years — roughly the population of Casper, Wyoming, added to one metro in 48 months. Center Church (Star, ID) sits inside Ada County.

Where we rank nationally

Among states by count of fast-growing counties (>25K pop, >5% growth since 2020):

Idaho is the only state in our region in the national top tier. Only 3 of the 50 fastest-growing US counties are in our region — and they're in Iowa, South Dakota, and Idaho.

Where Sovereign Grace presently sits in this picture

Across WA, OR, ID, MT, WY — five states, enormous geography, and the fast-growing edge of our region — Sovereign Grace has only three churches:

Idaho — the single most concentrated growth zone in our entire 14-state region — has exactly one SG church, and it's a brand-new plant. This is a strategic vacuum at precisely the point of greatest demographic momentum.

See also